Although COVID-19 has shown how little capacity our hospitals have after decades of cuts, the crisis for southwest Ontario hospital patients will get much worse, says a Canadian Union of Public Employees (CUPE) research paper, Ontario Hospital Crisis: Overcapacity and Under Threat released today.

The Ontario 2021 budget plans to cut COVID health care funds by $3.25 billion. But even that will be dwarfed by $18 billion in real health care cuts that will be required if the government’s funding plans are implemented over an 8-year period.

According to the CUPE report that uses government data to extrapolate the projections, province-wide hospital funding will fall almost $600 million behind in the first year and over $4.4 billion in year eight. Assuming staffing follows funding, that would mean 15.3 per cent less staff relative to demand. This would be like operating Ontario’s hospitals today with almost 34,000 fewer staff.

“As these ongoing cuts take hold, year after year for the next decade, Windsor, Kitchener/Waterloo, London and Guelph hospitals will stagger as an aging and growing population pits far too many very sick patients against its weakening capacity, says Michael Hurley president of CUPE’s Ontario Council of Hospital Unions (OCHU/CUPE). “Patients will be at risk. There will be no surge capacity. This government has learned nothing from the COVID pandemic.”

In southwest Ontario, hospital funding would fall hundreds of millions of dollars behind cost pressure in eight years. That is, south west hospital funding would fall $102 million behind cost pressures in the first year and $763 million behind cost pressures in year eight.

For Kitchener / Waterloo hospitals, that would be like operating today with 700 fewer staff. For London  and Windsor /Essex hospitals, that would be like operating today with 2100 and 800 fewer employees, respectively. For the Huron Perth Healthcare Alliance, that would be like operating with 168 fewer staff. For Guelph General, that would be like operating today with 234 fewer staff.

Ontario has cut nearly 20,000 hospital beds in the last three decades. The report reveals funding has fallen far behind other provinces.  To meet the average in the rest of Canada, Ontario would need another 8,793 beds. Ontario is even further behind bed levels in other countries. This has deepened the hospital COVID crisis in Ontario and explains the very high bed occupancy and hallway health care often reported by Ontario media. The Ford government funding plans will make this worse.

$18 billion in cuts “will mean a dramatic loss of hospital capacity. The next pandemic, or serious flu, will overwhelm us much sooner but even without that pressure the hospital system will simply not be able to meet the demand of an aging population. This, I believe, is intentional – hospitals will have no choice but to send more and more patients out earlier into the arms of the for-profit facilities which have the ear of this government and which have had such a high death rate during the pandemic. The public and hospital staff won’t accept that,” says Hurley.

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For more information please contact:

Stella Yeadon, CUPE Communications           416-559-9300          [email protected]

 

 

 

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